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Weak-Form Efficiency of the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange: An Application of Unit Root Analysis

Annuar Md. Nassir, Mohamed Ariff and Shamsher Mohamad

Pertanika Journal of Tropical Agricultural Science, Volume 1, Issue 1, March 1993

Keywords: Predictability efficiency, unit root, drift, time-trend

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Previous studies on the predictability efficiency o f Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange (KLSE) provide mixed evidence. Most o f these studies did not attempt to control thinness of trading, drift and time-trend in the price series, which are peculiar characteristics of a developing securities market. This study investigates the predictability efficiency of KLSE using unit root analysis which incorporates the drift and time-trend factors. The thinness o f trading was controlled by grouping the indices based on the volume of stock turnover per unit of outstanding shares. The findings suggest that the average unit root coefficient is 0.9 which implies that there is less than 10 percent chance that the indices are inefficiently priced over the period o f study. The findings from the average serial correlation tests were consistent with unit root analysis. This implies that KLSE is weak-form efficient though there are pockets of inefficiencies for some indices.

ISSN 1511-3701

e-ISSN 2231-8542

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